Trade between Tanzania and Uganda in major agricultural commodities, including maize, rice, beans, and soya, has sharply declined over the past five years, raising concerns for farmers and traders.
Data from the Tanzania Trade Development Authority (TanTrade) and the Tanzania Revenue Authority (TRA) show that the total value of these commodities sold in Ugandan markets fell from USD 154 million in 2021 to USD 108 million in 2022.
The decline continued in 2023, with exports valued at USD 106 million, followed by a minor recovery to USD 109 million in 2024. Projections for 2025 indicate a dramatic drop to just USD 45 million.
These staple foods are crucial for regional food security. Analysts warn that the downward trend could affect Tanzanian farmers’ incomes and challenge traders seeking stable regional markets.
Contributing factors may include price fluctuations, limited market access, and increased competition from other suppliers.
TanTrade and TRA are closely monitoring trade flows between the two countries and providing guidance to exporters and policymakers.
Efforts are underway to strengthen cross-border trade, improve market access, and support strategies that sustain economic ties while ensuring regional food security.
